Peter Ladefoged - oldfogey@ucla.edu
Phonetics Lab, Linguistics, UCLA
Los Angeles, CA
90095-1543
Popular version of paper 3pAA3
Presented Wednesday Afternoon, November 12, 2003
146th ASA Meeting, Austin, TX
Courts often need expert opinion as to whether two recordings were made by the same speaker or not. But the evidence in a case is not like data in an experiment. Scientists are used to gathering data in controlled situations and then drawing inferences from it. But every court case is like an experiment in which there are only one or two observations, made under unique circumstances. As a result, phoneticians, experts in the science of speech, do not know how to respond when they are asked to give evidence on speaker identification. They generally agree that it is possible for a trained observer to offer a valid professional opinion on the degree of similarity between two voices, each on a 15 minute studio recording. But they usually find it impossible to judge the degree of similarity between two voices on noisy three second bomb threats. Court cases can be like either of these situations or anywhere in between. There is no one-way of considering the data that can be applied in all cases. Forensic phoneticians are like medical doctors giving prognoses. They make many tests that provide useful clues, but their opinions are inevitably based on their own experience of similar situations rather than on rigorous scientific procedures. Like doctors, their opinions should certainly be noted. They have evidential value. But they are not established scientific truth.
In many court cases one voice has been recorded by an unknown speaker on a telephone answering machine and the other somehow obtained from a suspect. This is not always the case, however. On one occasion I was asked to offer an opinion as to whether Mr. L. Ron Hubbard, the founder of the Church of Scientology, was dead, as some members of his church submitted, or alive but in seclusion, as others maintained. (He was at the time being sought by the IRS in connection with possible tax evasion). The evidence in the case included the studio recordings of two Christmas messages he had sent to his followers, one from the current year and one from the previous year. Both referred to events of the time, and the earlier message was acknowledged to be by him. If the later message was made by the same voice it was evidence that he was alive at that time. Each message was about 15 minutes long, and contained many similar words and phrases. After careful listening and acoustic analysis it was clear to me that they were highly likely to have been made by the same speaker. (It turned out that Mr. Hubbard was in fact alive at the time. His death was reported some time later.)
When an expert gives an opinion in court everyone wants to know how reliable it is. There is no easy answer to this question; it depends on the circumstances. We will consider a few of the points that have to be taken into account.
A scientist giving an opinion on whether two recordings are likely to have
been made by the same speaker would like to do so by reference to recordings
that were of the same quality and length, and were made by similar speakers
in similar circumstances, saying similar things. But it would be almost impossible
to set up a valid experiment that can take all these (and many other) variables
into account. Lawyers often try to assist juries by asking for numbers indicating
the degree of certainty of an identification. When I am asked how likely is
it that I have made an error, I can only answer that I have never had a case
exactly like this one, so I do not know. It would take enormous resources to
do all the experimentation required to quantify the reliability of an opinion
that any two recordings that might be presented in a court case were likely
to have been made by the same speaker. We certainly cannot say that voice identification
by experts should always be allowed or never be allowed. Sometimes expert opinion
has evidential value, and sometimes it does not. Judges often have to make rulings
about whether a given recording is acceptable as evidence, unfortunately there
is no scientific data on which they can base their rulings because every case
is different. We just have to rely on the court's good common sense. It's not
science, but it's the law.